Japan’s Cherry Blossoms: A Forecast to Plan Your 2024 Visit

January 18, 2024

The Japan Meteorological Corporation (JMC) recently released its much-anticipated forecast for the 2024 sakura season, providing valuable insights for those planning to witness this spectacular natural event.

A Surge in Visitors Expected

Following the relaxation of travel restrictions, Japan saw a significant increase in visitors during the 2023 cherry blossom season. With the ongoing global recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic, 2024 is expected to see even higher numbers. In March 2023, Japan welcomed 1.82 million foreign visitors, a substantial increase from the previous month, indicating the enduring appeal of the sakura season.

Key Dates and Locations for 2024

The JMC has estimated the flowering and full bloom dates for Yoshino cherry trees at around 1,000 viewing locations across Japan. Here are some critical dates and places for the 2024 season:

  • Kochi: First blossoms on March 18; full bloom by March 26.
  • Fukuoka and Nagoya: Blossoms appear on March 21; full bloom around March 30 and 31, respectively.
  • Tokyo: Cherry blossoms start on March 23, with full bloom anticipated on March 30.
  • Kyoto and Osaka: Flowering begins on March 23 and 25, respectively, with full bloom expected on April 1.
  • Sapporo: Later in the season, blossoms start on May 2 and reach full bloom by May 6.

Understanding the Blooming Process

The JMC explains that the flowering and full bloom dates of cherry blossoms depend on various factors, including temperature patterns from the previous autumn, the growth status of the cherry trees, and cumulative temperatures. The buds, formed during the summer of the preceding year, enter a period of dormancy before starting to grow. These predictions are based on a combination of historical data and current environmental conditions.

Plan Your Visit

If you're planning a trip to Japan to catch these beautiful blossoms, these dates are a great starting point for your itinerary. However, keep in mind that nature can be unpredictable, and actual bloom dates may vary slightly. The JMC will release its next update on January 25, so stay tuned for more precise information as the season approaches.

The cherry blossom season in Japan remains a bucket-list experience for many travelers. With its transient beauty and cultural significance, sakura season is a perfect time to explore the Japanese landscape, culture, and traditions. Whether you're a repeat visitor or planning your first trip, the 2024 cherry blossom forecast promises another enchanting season in Japan.

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